Barack Obama is now at about 40% versus 44% for Hilary Clinton.
What, you may ask?
These are the odds on Intrade of either of them capturing the 2008 Democratic Presidential nomination.
Barack Obama is doing really well - he was at 28% only six weeks ago, and Hilary Clinton has not budged.
Barack Obama has now led Ms Clinton for two quarters in fund raising.
How long before the odds favor him?