----- Original Message -----
From: Rasul A Shariff
To: Rasul Shariff
Sent: Sunday, December 11, 2005 9:47 PM
Subject: Elections coming?
According to today's Daily Nation (Sunday Nov 11th), President Kibaki would not survive a vote of confidence in Parliament if the vote was held today. Parliament needs a simple majority of just 112 MPs of the 221 MPs to pass a no confidence vote.
The Nation's best guess is that Kibaki has 99 supporters in Parliament, the Opposition has 101 votes, and 21 MPs are undecided.
So it looks like there will be a vote of no confidence and then general elections within three months when Parliament returns in March.
According to the existing Kenya constitution of 1963 :
If the National Assembly passes a resolution which is supported by the votes of a majority of all the members of the Assembly (excluding the ex officio members), and of which not less than seven days' notice has been given in accordance with the standing orders of the Assembly, declaring that it has no confidence in the Government of Kenya, and the President does not within three days of the passing of that resolution either resign from his office or dissolve Parliament, Parliament shall stand dissolved on the fourth day following the day on which that resolution was passed.
Whenever Parliament is dissolved, an election of a President shall be held at the ensuing general election, and at that election-
(a) each political party taking part in the general election shall nominate one candidate for President in such manner as may be prescribed by or under an Act Parliament;
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