Thursday, November 12, 2020
Trump’s big election lie pushes America toward autocracy By Timothy Snyder
BOSTONGLOBE.COM
Clinging to power by claiming you are the victim of internal enemies is a very
dangerous tactic. Don’t underestimate where this can go.
Updated November 11, 2020, 10:14 a.m. When you lose, it is good and healthy to
know why. In the First World War, the conflict that defined our modern world,
the Germans lost because of the overwhelming force assembled by their enemies on
the Western Front. After the Americans entered the war, German defeat was a
matter of time. Yet German commanders found it convenient instead to speak of a
“stab in the back” by leftists and Jews. This big lie was a problem for the new
German democracy that was created after the war, since it suggested that the
major political party, the Social Democrats, and a national minority, the Jews,
were outside the national community. The lie was taken up by the Nazis, and it
became a central element of their version of history after they took power. The
blame was elsewhere. It is always tempting to blame defeat on others. Yet for a
national leader to do so and to inject a big lie into the system puts democracy
at great risk. Excluding others from the national community makes democracy
impossible in principle, and refusing to accept defeat makes it impossible in
practice. What we face now in the United States is a new, American incarnation
of the old falsehood: that Donald Trump’s defeat was not what it seems, that
votes were stolen from him by internal enemies — by a left-wing party. “Where it
mattered, they stole what they had to steal,” he tweets. He claims that his
votes were all “Legal Votes,” as if by definition those for his opponent were
not. Underestimating Donald Trump is a mistake that people should not go on
making. Laughing at him will not make him go away. If it did, he would have
vanished decades ago. Nor will longstanding norms about how presidents behave
make him go away. He is an actor and will stick to his lines: It was all a
fraud, and he won “by a lot.” He was never defeated, goes the story; he was a
victim of a conspiracy. This stab-in-the-back myth could become a permanent
feature of American politics, so long as Trump has a bullhorn, be it on Fox or
on RT (formerly Russia Today) — or, though Democrats might find this
unthinkable, as an unelected president remaining in power. After all, a claim
that an election was illegitimate is a claim to remaining in power. A coup is
under way, and the number of participants is not shrinking but growing. Few
leading Republicans have acknowledged that the race is over. Important ones,
such as Mitch McConnell and Mike Pompeo, appear to be on the side of the coup.
We might like to think that this is all some strategy to find the president an
exit ramp. But perhaps that is wishful thinking. The transition office refuses
to begin its work. The secretary of defense, who did not want the army attacking
civilians, was fired. The Department of Justice, exceeding its traditional
mandate, has authorized investigations of the vote count. The talk shows on Fox
this week contradict the news released by Fox last week. Republican lawmakers
find ever new verbal formulations that directly or indirectly support Trump’s
claims. The longer this goes on, the greater the danger to the Republic. What
Trump is saying is false, and Republican politicians know it. If the votes
against the president were fraudulent, then Republican wins in the House and
Senate were also fraudulent: The votes were on the same ballots. Yet conspiracy
theories, such as the stab in the back, have a force that goes beyond logic.
They push away from a world of evidence and toward a world of fears.
Psychological research suggests that citizens are especially vulnerable to
conspiracy theories at the time of elections. Trump understands this, which is
why his delivery of conspiracy theory is full of capital letters and bereft of
facts. He knows better than to try to prove anything. His ally Newt Gingrich
reaches for the worst when he blames a wealthy Jew for something that did not
happen in the first place. History shows where this can go. If people believe an
election has been stolen, that makes the new president a usurper. In Poland in
1922, a close election brought a centrist candidate to the presidency. Decried
by the right in the press as an agent of the Jews, he was assassinated after two
weeks in office. Even if the effect is not so immediate, the lingering effect of
a myth of victimhood, of the idea of a stab in the back, can be profound. The
German myth of a stab in the back did not doom German democracy immediately. But
the conspiracy theory did help Nazis make their case that some Germans were not
truly members of the nation and that a truly national government could not be
democratic. Democracy can be buried in a big lie. Of course, the end of
democracy in America would take an American form. In 2020 Trump acknowledged
openly what has been increasingly clear for decades: The Republican Party aims
not so much to win elections as to game them. This strategy has its temptations:
The more you care about suppressing votes, the less you care about what voters
want. And the less you care about voters want, the closer you move to
authoritarianism. Trump has taken the next logical step: Try to disenfranchise
voters not only before but after elections. If you have been stabbed in the
back, then everything is permitted. Claiming that a fair election was foul is
preparation for an election that is foul. If you convince your voters that the
other side has cheated, you are promising them that you yourself will cheat next
time. Having bent the rules, you then have to break them. History shows the
danger in the familiar example of Hitler. When politicians break democracy, as
conservatives in Weimar Germany did in the early 1930s, they are wrong to think
that they will control what happens next. Someone else will emerge who is better
adapted to the chaos and who will wield it in ways that they neither want nor
expect. The myth of victimhood comes home and claims its victims. This is no
time to mince words. In the interest of the Republic and of their own party,
Republicans should accept the results. Timothy Snyder, a professor of history at
Yale University, is the author of “On Tyranny: Twenty Lessons From the Twentieth
Century” and, most recently, “Our Malady: Lessons in Liberty From a Hospital
Diary.” Follow him on Twitter @TimothyDSnyder.
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